You’d think they’d be equals.
Two Sundays.
Two parents.
Two chances for families to treat a parent – by taking them out for a meal.
But when we look at restaurant sales data across the last four years, one thing is clear:
Mother’s Day is the main event.
Father’s Day – not so much…
This graph compares historical restaurant sales to Predictive Insights’ forecast for Father’s Day 2025. And the pattern holds.
Restaurants treat it like a mini-holiday season—prepping weeks in advance with special campaigns.
And diners show up in full force, often booking days early.
Father’s Day?
Less hype.
Less planning.
Often just a regular Sunday with an asterisk.
Taking mom out to eat feels like the “right” thing.
A visible act of appreciation.
A moment the whole table leans into.
For dad? It’s often quieter. More casual.
Sometimes, it’s just… staying in.
And without that performative pull—no need to dress up, book early, or splurge—restaurant spend stays flat.
In the UK for example, Mother’s Day falls in March—early spring. Days are getting longer, the weather’s turning, and after winter, people are ready to gather.
Father’s Day lands in mid-June. Technically summer, but it often arrives during exams, school fatigue, and stretched budgets. It’s not the easiest time to plan a long lunch—or rack up a bill.
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The opportunity isn’t gone—it’s just untapped.
Restaurants could:
Build anticipation. Promote bookings like it’s Mother’s Day—because that’s the benchmark.
Father’s Day doesn’t need to be loud. But it does need a reason for people to gather.
Move beyond the grill. Create intimate, thoughtful experiences. Think whisky tastings, jazz pairings, or slow-cooked shared plates.
We just plan less.
Market less.
And menu less.
Mom’s moment is marketed, timed, and dressed for the occasion. Dad’s? Not so much.
Restaurants have everything they need to close the gap—if they treat Father’s Day like the meaningful moment it could be.
At Predictive Insights, identifying patterns is just the first step. Our real value lies in translating those patterns into practical, data-led strategies tailored to your business. If you want to move from observing trends to acting on them, get in touch.
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